Compare prediction markets
Quick answer
For Canadians, Wealthsimple Predict is the top regulated option. Polymarket leads globally on liquidity and low fees but restricts Canada. Manifold is the best free play-money choice.
| Liquidity | Currency | Payout | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Polymarket The world's largest crypto-native prediction market. | 4.7 | VPN | 0% platform fee; small on-chain gas costs | Very High | USDC | Instant on-chain | Visit |
| Kalshi The first CFTC-regulated event contracts exchange in the US. | 4.5 | No | Up to 10% of profit per trade (variable maker/taker) | High | USD | 1-3 business days | Visit |
| Wealthsimple Predict Canada's regulated event contracts platform from Wealthsimple. | 4.3 | Partial | Spread-based (no explicit commission) | Medium | CAD | Same day to Wealthsimple Cash | Visit |
| Manifold Play-money prediction markets anyone can create. | 4.2 | Yes | None — play money | Medium | Play Money | Instant in-app | Visit |
| Robinhood Event Contracts Event contracts inside the Robinhood app for US traders. | 4.1 | No | Small per-contract exchange & regulatory fees | High | USD | Instant to buying power | Visit |
| PredictIt Academic-focused political prediction market. | 3.8 | No | 10% on profits + 5% on withdrawals | Medium | USD | 1-2 weeks | Visit |
| Augur Fully decentralised, Ethereum-based prediction protocol. | 3.6 | VPN | Ethereum gas + small reporter fees | Low | USD | On-chain settlement |
Note: Some prediction-market contract types (including sports and elections) may be restricted for Canadian residents. Always confirm the platform's current Canadian availability before signing up.